THIS
IS THE TOC!
The Transit Oriented Community (TOC) plan for Midtown Oakville is, first and foremost, a Provincially designed and driven program.
That's important to remember. Here's why ...​
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Oakville Town Council has no power to refuse the TOC in the same way it might a normal development application. Council's power has been disallowed by the Province. That means if the Province decides to proceed with this project, our Livable Oakville Official Plan is moot. The Province's TOC supersedes it.​​​
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The developer partner working with the Province was selected by the Province, with no involvement by Oakville Town Council or Oakville's Planning Staff. That selection was done in a private, behind-the-scenes process.
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For more than a year, Council has been subject to a Non-Disclosure Agreement imposed by the Province, which has tightly limited the information Council could share with the general public - residents of Oakville.
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TOC Facts at a Glance
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​11 Towers with heights of 46 to 59 storeys
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Over 6,900 Units
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Over 65% are Studio & 1 bedroom - 335 to 550 sq. ft (a typical double garage ranges between 400 and 600 square feet. But 720 sq. feet is common)
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Probable number of people : 12,000
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Creates a density of over 2,000 people per hectare
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Floor Space Index (FSI) : 15​​​
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No Green Space
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No Improvements to the Oakville GO Station
Why Do We Oppose the TOC?
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The Province is using strongman tactics to override Oakville’s Official Plan - the carefully crafted long-term planning blueprint that guides how our land can be used and developed over coming decades.
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The power of Oakville Town Council (and the people they represent) has been usurped. Council has no ability to reject this application for overdevelopment in Midtown.
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If the Province chooses to proceed with this "enforced growth" it will be forcing over-development on Midtown.
If this level of development in Midtown proceeds, the results will be ruinous for all of Oakville.
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Total gridlock on Trafalgar Road, QEW interchanges, Cornwall Road, Cross Avenue, Speers Road, Chartwell, etc. and others.
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8-Minute delays to exit the QEW
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Access to Oakville GO will get worse, not better. Cars and buses will be frozen in heavy traffic.
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The Province is NOT providing any upgrades to the GO Station, parking, express transit or other assistance.
Size
Does
Matter
Watson Associates Economists, a leading economic consulting firm, forecast a total number of units in Midtown as 18,500 by MID 2051.
​At 6,900 units, the TOC represents OVER 30% of the overall. This means it profoundly affects a Midtown's future by concentrating risk, stressing public infrastructure, and creating financial uncertainty. Its dominance creates a higher-stakes scenario for Midtown, moving the risk from a diversified, incremental approach to one heavily dependent on a single entity.
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Furthermore, N. Barry Lyon & Associates reported Over the next decade, NBLC expects that demand for residential uses in Midtown Oakville could be in the range of 200 to 300 units annually. The report also stated: At a time when markets are soft and investors unlikely to return soon, developers seem to be seeking building heights that defy market logic.
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FORECAST:
AT 300 UNITS PER YEAR
THE TOC WOULD TAKE 23 YEARS TO FILL
The Condo Crash is here. As highlighted in a Macleans article, the bubble has popped, leaving behind thousands of unsellable, unlivable units.
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As of this spring, the inventory of unsold units in Toronto totalled more than 23,000, which would take nearly five years to sell at the current rate. Of those, nearly 2,000 are built and sitting empty, more than 11,000 are under construction and roughly 11,000 more are in pre-construction projects.
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In 2023, unpaid construction workers walked away from a four-tower development in Kitchener, Ontario, with the project 80 per cent completed. When that project went into receivership, the owners owed $100 million, but only had $300 in the bank.
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From January to June of 2025, housing starts were down 44 per cent in the Toronto metro area.
The TOC presents huge risks - to Midtown, to Oakville and to our citizens. Consider...
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Economic vulnerability: financial health and timeline for the entire Midtown area become tied to a single developer.
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Market Distortion: the TOC's enormous needs sideline other developments.
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Infrastructure Strain
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Phasing and Coordination Issues
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Loss of Incremental Growth: leaves no room for smaller, more appropriate sized developments.
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There is no public record of the financial terms, risks, or benefits tied to the TOC. The Provincially-driven Midtown TOC plan is a scheme torn from the Greenbelt insider’s playbook.​​
AND YET,
THE PROVINCE CONTINUES TO MOVE FORWARD
WITH THE MIDTOWN TOC
WHY???